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Bayesian methods for electricity load forecasting
In this manuscript, we develop Bayesian statistics tools to forecast the French electricity load. We first prove the asymptotic normality of the posterior distribution... -
Predictability of soil moisture and river flows over France for the spring se...
[Departement_IRSTEA]Eaux [TR1_IRSTEA]ARCEAU -
Three essays on banking excess liquidity in Economic Community of Central Afr...
This thesis is based on three essays focused on analysis of the excess liquidity in the CEMAC countries. The first one identifies the determinants of excess liquidity... -
Analyse et prévision de certains glissements de terrains naturels
L'objectif principal de ce travail est de mettre à la disposition des pouvoirs publics un outil de prévision des glissements de terrains naturels, pour leur permettre... -
Uncertainty modeling on aircraft trajectories
In this thesis we propose probabilistic and statistic models based on multidimensional data for forecasting uncertainty on aircraft trajectories. Assuming that during... -
Value of condition monitoring information for maintenance decision-making
Condition and health monitoring can bring out useful information for the maintenance decision-making but few models allow their integration in the decision process.... -
SEARCH FOR MORPHOLOGICAL PARAMETERS INFLUENTIAL FOR PREDICTION OF THE MECHANI...
Duplex stainless steels are commonly used ( among others in nuclear industry) for their good properties. However these steels may "age" in service condition at high... -
Growth and convergence in CFA zone countries : a non stationary panel data study
During the recent years, african countries in the CFA zone have experienced many economic changes on the one hand through the measures initiated by bilateral and... -
Stakeholders' issues for action during the warning process and the interpreta...
International audience -
Réseaux de neurones artificiels
L'apprentissage connexionniste est une discipline scientifique qui recouvre plusieurs aspects d'études mathématiques, statistiques et algorithmiques. Les systèmes... -
Spatially distributed flood forecasting in flash flood prone areas: Applicati...
Accurate flood forecasts are critical to an efficient flood event management strategy. Until now, hydro-meteorological forecasts have mainly been used to establish... -
Approche performantielle de la durabilité des ouvrages d'art en béton : prése...
La durabilité des ouvrages d'art en béton s'obtient par une conception soignée prenant en compte non seulement les aspects liés à l'évacuation des eaux, la maîtrise de... -
Analyse des défaillances et suivi de la validation du logiciel d'un équipemen...
International audience -
Alkali aggregate reaction and delayed ettringite formation: common features a...
La Réaction Alcali Granulat (RAG) et la Réaction Sulfatique Interne (RSI) sont deux pathologies du béton conduisant à son expansion. In situ, les deux réactions... -
Modelling of concrete structures affected by internal swelling reactions : co...
Alkali Aggregate Reaction (AAR) and Delayed Ettringite Formation (DEF) cause expansion of the affected concrete that generally leads to cracking and decrease of its... -
Modèles Agrégés pour la modélisation et la prévision du volume du parc automo...
Selon l’Ademe, en France, le secteur des transports est responsable en 2010 de 26% des émissions de GES et de 37% des rejets de CO2. A eux seuls, selon le CITEPA, les... -
New Probabilistic Approach to Estimate Vehicle Failure Trajectories in Curve ...
The vehicle trajectories analysis on dangerous bends is an important task to improve road safety.This paper proposes a new methodology to predict failure trajectories... -
Prognosis of outcome in adult survivors of road accidents in France: 1-year f...
Objectives The consequences of road crashes are various, and few studies have dealt with the multidimensionality of outcomes. The aim of the present study was to... -
Rock and Stiff-Soil Site Amplification: Dependency on VS30 and Kappa (κ0)
A ground-motion prediction equation (GMPE) specific to rock and stiff- soil sites is derived using seismic motion recorded on high VS30 sites in Japan. This GMPE...
