Decisions in the uncertain of a household and dynamics of its automobile behavior

During the last fort Y years, a large number of studies have analyzed the behaviors related to car holding and use. However, the majority of these studies consider the subject from a static point of view, ignoring the household dynamics and the driver's needs, which are very likely to drive such decisions. The durable character of a vehicle suggests however that such a dynamic cannot be ignored in the study of the vehicle purchase, holding and use decisions. This work employs a disaggregated, structural approach based on real choice to address these dynamics. The document is composed of three parts. In the first part a description of the problem is provided through an analysis of the available literature. The second part includes the description of the operations which are performed on "Parc Auto". This database needs in fact some preliminary treatment if one wants to use it as a vehicle's Panel. In the last part the four applications considered are presented. A first application proposes a hedonic approach to the vehicles' prices. The second chapter of this last part estimates the Rust model for mono-equipped (Le. only one car owned each year) households' decisions concerning their car. A dynamic discrete\continuous choice model of car holding duration and use for both myopic and forward-Iooking agents follow. ln the last chapter a dynamic forward-Iooking program for the purchase planning problem is presented. ln the three dynamic applications, a discount factor tests different effects of dynamic behavior. My findings indicate that a household's time preference is a crucial element in studying these decisions.

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Field Value
Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00984250
Author Cernicchiaro, Giulia
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 5, 2026, 12:55 (UTC)
Created May 5, 2026, 12:55 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2013PA010001
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne (CES) ; Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (UP1)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Cernicchiaro, Giulia
date 2013-01-10T00:00:00
harvest_object_id a8db75fb-9bcb-4108-bcb2-dac65b7620de
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-31T00:00:00
set_spec type:THESE