Extreme Values and Recurrence for Deterministic and Stochastic Dynamics

In this work, we study the statistical properties of deterministic and stochastic dynamical systems. We are particularly interested in extreme values and recurrence. We prove the existence of Extreme Value Laws (EVLs) and Hitting Time Statistics (HTS)/ ReturnTime Statistics (RTS) for systems with decay of correlations against L1 observables. We also carry out the study of the convergence of Rare Event Point Processes (REPP). In the first part, we investigate the problem for deterministic dynamics and completely characterise the extremal behaviour of expanding systems by giving a dichotomy relying on the existence of an Extremal Index (EI). Namely, we show that the EI is strictly less than 1 for periodic centres and is equal to 1 for non-periodic ones. In a more general setting, we prove that the REPP converges to a standard Poisson if the centre is non-periodic, and to a compound Poisson with a geometric multiplicity distribution for the periodic case. Moreover, we perform an analysis of the convergence of the REPP at discontinuity points which gives the convergence to a compound Poisson with a multiplicity distribution different than the usual geometric one.In the second part, we consider stochastic dynamics by randomly perturbing a deterministic system with additive noise. We present two complementary methods which allow us to obtain EVLs and statistics of recurrence in the presence of noise. The first approach is more probabilistically oriented while the second one uses spectral theory. We conclude that, regardless of the centre chosen, the EI is always equal to 1 and the REPP converges to the standard Poisson.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00929727
Author Aytaç, Hale, Aytac
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 7, 2026, 11:09 (UTC)
Created May 7, 2026, 11:09 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2013TOUL0006
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre de Physique Théorique - UMR 7332 (CPT) ; Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Université de Toulon (UTLN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Aytaç, Hale, Aytac
date 2013-06-25T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 49e033ac-1691-4614-a864-12145956c83f
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-31T00:00:00
set_spec type:THESE