Spatio-temporal modeling of pests dynamics in social-ecological systems

Social-ecological systems are omnipresent and the understanding of their functioning became a priority not only to approach in a common and precise way the questions raised by the action of human on its environment, but also to identify trajectories and investigate forward-looking scenarios on the basis of which, management strategies could be developed. Applied to a crop pest in the Northern Andes, a cellular automaton approach allowed us to identify key human factors of pest dispersal and to construct maps from presence/absence probability. Afterward, the integration of genetic variability through an individual-based model facilitated the exploration of pest populations structure scenarios. For a better understanding of pest spatio-temporal dynamics, an agent-based model approach, theoretical then empirical, supplied elements of explanation of observable delays between the development of a crop protection innovation and its application by farmers of a small agricultural region, through an information diffusion model coupled with the previous approaches. To further exploit these results after a fruitful participative research in the study zone, an innovative method based on a model was fitted into a farmers' training program to underline the necessity of a systematic approach for an effective integrated pest management program. Despite some limitations, these approaches could be applicable more widely to any agricultural program in social-ecological systems.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00836104
Author Rebaudo, François
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 10, 2026, 15:52 (UTC)
Created May 10, 2026, 15:52 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2012PAO66275
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire Evolution, Génomes et Spéciation (LEGS) ; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Rebaudo, François
date 2012-07-17T00:00:00
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harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-03-01T00:00:00
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