The informational efficiency of the sports betting market : a parallel with the financial markets

The aim of this thesis is to introduce the sports betting market, and more precisely to show how this market forms a simplified framework for observations, close enough to stock markets to test the informational efficiency theory, and lead to unanimous conclusions about its empirical validity. Firstly, we focus on the weak form of informational efficiency and more particularly on an anomaly known as the Favourite Longshot Bias, which was listed in sports betting markets, as well as in stock markets. Thanks to a vast data sample, we prove that transaction costs and bettors’ preferences have a significant impact on odds fixed by bookmakers, and consequently on prices’ structure. Moreover, we also discuss bettors’ rationality and we show how bettors’ behaviour is not so different from that of investors in the stock markets. Secondly, we provide a detailed analysis of the strong form of informational efficiency and more precisely of the spread as an indicator of insider trading in the sports betting market.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00834768
Author Barraud, Christophe
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 10, 2026, 16:59 (UTC)
Created May 10, 2026, 16:59 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2012PA090063
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine (LEDa) ; Université Paris Dauphine-PSL ; Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)
creator Barraud, Christophe
date 2012-12-06T00:00:00
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harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-31T00:00:00
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