Behavior of a sample under extreme conditioning, maximum likelihood under weighted sampling

In Chapter one, we explore the joint behaviour of the summands of a random walk when their mean value goes to infinity as its length increases. It is proved that all the summands must share the same value, which extends previous results in the context of large exceedances of finite sums of i.i.d. random variables. In Chapter two, we state a conditional Gibbs theorem for a random walk (X1, ..,Xn) conditioned on an extreme deviation event. It is proved that when the summands have light tails with some additional regulatity property, then the asymptotic conditional distribution of X1 can be approximated by the tilted distribution in variation norm, extending therefore the classical LDP case. The third Chapter explores Maximum Likelihood in parametric models in the context of Sanov type Large Deviation Probabilities. MLE in parametric models under weighted sampling is shown to be associated with the minimization of a specific divergence criterion defined with respect to the distribution of the weights. Some properties of the resulting inferential procedure are presented; Bahadur efficiency of tests is also considered in this context.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00802459
Author Cao, Zhansheng
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 12, 2026, 06:45 (UTC)
Created May 12, 2026, 06:45 (UTC)
Identifier tel-00802459
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de Statistique Théorique et Appliquée (LSTA) ; Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Cao, Zhansheng
date 2012-11-26T00:00:00
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harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-08-12T00:00:00
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