Simulations of foot-and-mouth disease and decision-making procees : epidemiological and economical approaches

The 2001 Foot-and-mouth disease epizootic in the United Kingdom has illustrated limits in some established surveillance, control, anticipation and decision-making systems. At the same time, the relaxation of vaccination procedures has enhanced the set of usable tools by risk managers. A reassessment in France seemed needed.For this purpose, the research project firstly proposed to study the organization of the different livestock industries in France. The analysis of French holding network by using the method of social network analysis has led to characterize the relationships between holdings and to determine a constant structural vulnerability to diseases spread especially due to bovine trade network.Secondly, the disease spread in the holding network has been studied with simulations generated by a specifically built model. The cost-effectiveness of different control strategies (combining infected herd depopulation, pre-emptive culling and vaccination) were then compared. Results showed that no single epidemiological and economical optimal strategy existed and local context must be taken into account. Indeed, the cost-effective strategy changed according to the concerned area and the considered players.This research work allowed creating a thinking tool for decision-making but also a training tool for crisis management preparation.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00709417
Author Rautureau, Séverine
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 15, 2026, 16:23 (UTC)
Created May 15, 2026, 16:23 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2012PA11T002
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de santé animale (LSAn) ; Agence nationale de sécurité sanitaire de l'alimentation, de l'environnement et du travail (ANSES)
creator Rautureau, Séverine
date 2012-01-18T00:00:00
harvest_object_id b0c409db-01f9-473c-aa70-411091f91bf1
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-04-27T00:00:00
set_spec type:THESE