Emerging infectious diseases : the role of herd protection loss due to stochastic fluctuations in microparasite circulation, within both well-mixed and spatially structured host populations

The study presented here aims to suggest and to test several mechanisms to explain how infectious diseases impact could increase, in relation to microparasite circulation and loss of herd protection. We first introduce the main characteristics of host/microparasite interaction and display some knowledge about emerging infectious diseases, and their consequences for diseases control. Stochastic modelling is then used to study epidemic patterns under several hypotheses and for different host/parasite systems: i) we explain canine distemper emergence in Serengeti lions through a break in virus circulation and the resulting loss of herd immunity; ii) we study the consequences of partial crossprotection induced in hosts by different strains in a small homogeneous host population; and iii) we extend this study to spatially structured host populations to explain data observed in lagomorphs/lagoviruses in France.

Data and Resources

Additional Info

Field Value
Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00705295
Author Guiserix, Micheline
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 15, 2026, 22:50 (UTC)
Created May 15, 2026, 22:50 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2009LYO10094
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive - UMR 5558 (LBBE) ; Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL) ; Université de Lyon-Université de Lyon-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Guiserix, Micheline
date 2009-07-01T00:00:00
harvest_object_id e06071c5-b0af-4dab-8707-c2b6f81673da
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-30T00:00:00
set_spec type:THESE