Adaptive surrogate models for reliability analysis and reliability-based design optimization

This thesis is a contribution to the resolution of the reliability-based design optimization problem. This probabilistic design approach is aimed at considering the uncertainty attached to the system of interest in order to provide optimal and safe solutions. The safety level is quantified in the form of a probability of failure. Then, the optimization problem consists in ensuring that this failure probability remains less than a threshold specified by the stakeholders. The resolution of this problem requires a high number of calls to the limit-state design function underlying the reliability analysis. Hence it becomes cumbersome when the limit-state function involves an expensive-to-evaluate numerical model (e.g. a finite element model). In this context, this manuscript proposes a surrogate-based strategy where the limit-state function is progressively replaced by a Kriging meta-model. A special interest has been given to quantifying, reducing and eventually eliminating the error introduced by the use of this meta-model instead of the original model. The proposed methodology is applied to the design of geometrically imperfect shells prone to buckling.

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Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00697026
Author Dubourg, Vincent
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 18, 2026, 16:47 (UTC)
Created May 18, 2026, 16:47 (UTC)
Identifier NNT: 2011CLF22184
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de Mécanique et Ingénieries (LAMI) ; Institut Français de Mécanique Avancée (IFMA)-Université Blaise Pascal - Clermont-Ferrand 2 (UBP)
creator Dubourg, Vincent
date 2011-12-05T00:00:00
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harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-30T00:00:00
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