Sensitivity and uncertainty in karst hydrosystem modelling

The present thesis aims to work out the general characteristics of the sensitivity of numerical models of flow within karst systems. A special attention is devoted to the study of the influence of karst specificities (high heterogeneity, duality of flow, highly non-linear behaviour) on the sensitivity propagation, with the final purpose of answering the following questions: (i) is it possible to calibrate the model ? (ii) is the calibration robust ? (iii) is it possible to reduce equifinality, through multi-objective calibration or through multi-variable calibration ? The analysis is performed for global reservoir models and distributed, hybrid flow models. This contribution stresses the potentialities of local sensitivity analyses. Despite their inherent limitations (local approximation), local analyses have proved to bring valuable insights into the general behaviour of complex, non-linear flow models, at little computational cost. Besides, this contribution also stresses the interest of multi-variable calibration as compared to multi-objective calibration, as regards equifinality reduction.

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Field Value
Source https://theses.hal.science/tel-00671069
Author Mazzilli, Naomi
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 28, 2026, 08:29 (UTC)
Created May 28, 2026, 08:29 (UTC)
Identifier tel-00671069
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Hydrosciences Montpellier (HSM) ; Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Université Montpellier 2 - Sciences et Techniques (UM2)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Mazzilli, Naomi
date 2011-11-09T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 91b8f0fb-62c3-4c4f-857d-4973b125b0d3
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-08-12T00:00:00
set_spec type:THESE