Immigration, unemployment and GDP in the host country: Bootstrap panel Granger causality analysis on OECD countries

This paper examines the causality relationship between immigration, unemployment and economic growth of the host country. We employ the panel Granger causality testing approach of Konya (2006) that is based on SUR systems and Wald tests with country specific bootstrap critical values. This approach allows to test for Granger-causality on each individual panel member separately by taking into account the contemporaneous correlation across countries. Using annual data over the 1980-2005 period for 22 OECD countries, we find that, only in Portugal, unemployment negatively causes immigration, while in any country, immigration does not cause unemployment. On the other hand, our results show that, in four countries (France, Iceland, Norway and the United Kingdom), growth positively causes immigration, whereas in any country, immigration does not cause growth.

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Field Value
Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00827003
Author Boubtane, Ekrame, Coulibaly, Dramane, Rault, C.
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 10, 2026, 23:49 (UTC)
Created May 10, 2026, 23:49 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00827003
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International (CERDI) ; Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I (UdA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Boubtane, Ekrame
date 2013-05-28T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 976f8512-a644-4dc7-b665-b05441b2eb4c
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2024-07-01T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED