A Bayesian Subjective Poverty Line, One Dollar a Day Revisited

This paper provides a new estimation of an international poverty line based on a Bayesian approach. We found that the official poverty lines of the poorest countries are related to the countries' mean consumption level. This new philosophy is to be compared to the previous assumptions made by the World Bank in favour of an absolute poverty line. We propose a new international poverty line at $1.48 per day (2005 PPP) based on a reference group consumption level. This figure is much higher than that proposed by the World Bank ($1.25 in 2005 PPP), but still within a reasonable confidence interval. By this standard, there are more than 1.7 billion people living in poverty.

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Field Value
Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00793725
Author Xun, Zhou, Lubrano, Michel
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 14, 2026, 05:08 (UTC)
Created May 14, 2026, 05:08 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00793725
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille (GREQAM) ; École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Xun, Zhou
date 2013-02-14T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 48408601-852c-47ae-8377-fba9e6dc2a50
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-01-24T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED