A Smooth Transition Long-Memory Model

This paper proposes a new fractional model with a time-varying long-memory parameter. The latter evolves nonlinearly according to a transition variable through a logistic function. We present a LR-based test that allows to discriminate between the standard fractional model and our model. We further apply the nonlinear least squares method to estimate the long memory parameter. We present an application to the unemployment rate in the United -States from 1948 to 2012.

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Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00793680
Author Aloy, Marcel, Dufrenot, Gilles, Lai-Tong, Charles, Peguin-Feissolle, Anne
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 14, 2026, 05:17 (UTC)
Created May 14, 2026, 05:17 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00793680
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille (GREQAM) ; École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Aloy, Marcel
date 2012-12-14T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 772b02ba-0f32-410b-ba5f-9e882dd49ef2
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-10-14T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED