Aggregate Instability under Labor Income Taxation and Balanced-Budget Rules: Preferences Matter

We investigate the role of preferences in the existence of expectation-driven instability under a balanced budget rule where government spendings are financed by a tax on labor income. Considering a one-sector neoclassical growth model with a large class of preferences, we find that expectation-driven fluctuations are more likely when consumption and labor are Edgeworth substitutes. Under this property, an intermediate range of tax rates and a sufficiently low elasticity of intertemporal substitution in consumption lead to instability. Numerical simulations of the model support the conclusion that labor income taxation is a plausible source of instability in most OECD countries.

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Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00793213
Author Abad, Nicolas, Seegmuller, Thomas, Venditti, Alain
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 8, 2026, 04:16 (UTC)
Created May 8, 2026, 04:16 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00793213
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille (GREQAM) ; École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Abad, Nicolas
date 2013-11-08T00:00:00
harvest_object_id dcc234a1-f97f-4f2c-b8df-f7647d07c893
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2024-03-18T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED