Estimation and Testing for Fractional Cointegration

Estimation of bivariate fractionally cointegrated models usually operates in two steps: the first step is to estimate the long run coefficient (\beta) whereas the second step estimates the long memory parameter (d) of the cointegrating residuals. We suggest an adaptation of the maximum likelihood estimator of Hualde and Robinson (2007) to estimate jointly \beta and d, and possibly other nuisance parameters, for a wide range of integration orders when regressors are I(1). The finite sample properties of this estimator are compared with various popular estimation methods of parameters \beta (LSE, ADL, DOLS, FMLS, GLS, MLE, NBLS, FMNBLS), and d (LPE,LWE,LPM,FML) through a Monte Carlo experiment. We also investigate the crucial question of testing for fractional cointegration (that is, d < 1). The simulation results suggest that the one-step methodology generally outperforms others methods, both in terms of estimation precision and reliability of statistical inferences. Finally we apply this methodology by studying the long-run relationship between stock prices and dividends in the US case.

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Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00793206
Author Aloy, Marcel, de Truchis, Gilles
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 14, 2026, 05:55 (UTC)
Created May 14, 2026, 05:55 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00793206
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille (GREQAM) ; École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-École Centrale de Marseille (ECM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Aloy, Marcel
date 2012-06-14T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 53060300-030f-4876-a407-9d38802c87ab
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2024-03-18T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED