The Effect of Development Aid Unpredictability and Migrants' Remittances on Fiscal Consolidation in Developing Countries

We use panel data on seventy-four developing countries for the period 1980-2007 to examine the effects of aid unpredictability and migrants' remittances on fiscal consolidation in these countries. Two definitions of fiscal adjustment are considered and a conditional logit model is used to perform the analysis. Evidence is shown that except for the case of low-income countries, remittances increase the likelihood of fiscal consolidation, be the latter gradual or rapid. Surprisingly, we observe that aid unpredictability, except in SSA countries where the effect is strongly positive and significant, does not affect the adoption of fiscal consolidation measures in all the groups considered.

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Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00677108
Author Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 25, 2026, 12:34 (UTC)
Created May 25, 2026, 12:34 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00677108
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International (CERDI) ; Université d'Auvergne - Clermont-Ferrand I (UdA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm
date 2012-03-07T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 4af361de-cff3-4801-b6c1-82fe8012be68
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2023-03-24T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED