Optimal Lifecycle Fertility in a Barro Becker Economy

Parenthood postponement is a key demographic trend of the last three decades. In order to rationalize that stylized fact, we extend the canonical model by Barro and Becker (1989) to include two - instead of one reproduction periods. We examine how the cost structure of early and late children in terms of time and goods a¤ects the optimal fertility timing. Then, focusing a stationary equilibrium with stationary population, we provide two alternative explanations for the observed postponement of births: (1) a fall of the direct cost of late children (thanks to medical advances); (2) a rise in hourly productivity, which increases the (relative) opportunity costs of early children in comparison to late children.

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Source https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00676500
Author Pestieau, Pierre, Ponthière, Grégory
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 25, 2026, 18:11 (UTC)
Created May 25, 2026, 18:11 (UTC)
Identifier halshs-00676500
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Center of Research in Public Economics and Population Economics (CREPP) ; Université de Liège = University of Liège = Universiteit van Luik = Universität Lüttich (ULiège)
creator Pestieau, Pierre
date 2012-03-25T00:00:00
harvest_object_id eac5bf4a-35aa-4def-aa99-38023d35eb19
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-04-10T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED