Modelling intersite dependence for regional frequency analysis of extreme marine events

The duration of observation at a site of interest is generally too low to reliably estimate marine extremes. Regional frequency analysis (RFA), by exploiting the similarity between sites, can help to reduce uncertainties inherent to local analyses. Extreme observations in a homogeneous region are especially assumed to follow a common regional distribution, up to a local index. The regional pooling method, by gathering observations from different sites into a regional sample, can be employed to estimate the regional distribution. However, such a procedure may be highly affected by intersite dependence in the regional sample. This paper derives a theoretical model of intersite dependence, dedicated to the regional pooling method in a "peaks over threshold" framework. This model expresses the tendency of sites to display a similar behavior during a storm generating extreme observations, by describing both the storm propagation in the region and the storm intensity. The proposed model allows the assessment of i) the regional effective duration of the regional sample and ii) different regional hazards, e.g., return periods of storms. An application to the estimation of extreme significant wave heights from the numerical sea-state database ANEMOC-2 is provided, where different patterns of regional dependence are highlighted.

Data and Resources

Additional Info

Field Value
Source https://hal.science/hal-00992636
Author Weiss, Jérôme, Bernardara, Pietro, Benoit, Michel
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 5, 2026, 10:32 (UTC)
Created May 5, 2026, 10:32 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00992636
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire d'Hydraulique Saint-Venant / Saint-Venant Laboratory for Hydraulics (LHSV) ; École nationale des ponts et chaussées (ENPC)-PRES Université Paris-Est-EDF – Électricité de France (EDF [E.D.F.])-Avant création Cerema
creator Weiss, Jérôme
date 2014-05-12T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 801d284c-53de-48dd-b675-889a0b794356
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-12-18T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED