Has the Golden Rule of Public Finance Made a difference in the UK

This paper uses the SVAR methodology to investigate the effects of public investment on growth, and more specifically, the effects of the introduction of a golden rule of public finance. We extend the existing literature by estimating a model of the British economy that takes into account long run factors such as public debt accumulation. We find that in such a long run framework, public investment has a significant and permanently positive effect on GDP growth; this result runs counter to the most recent literature on the topic that was limited to a short run specification. We further find, by comparing different subsamples, that the introduction of the golden rule in 1997 strengthened the positive effect of public investment.

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Source https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-00972843
Author Creel, Jérôme, Veroni, Paola, Saraceno, Francesco
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 5, 2026, 17:01 (UTC)
Created May 5, 2026, 17:01 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00972843
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Observatoire français des conjonctures économiques (Sciences Po) (OFCE) ; Sciences Po (Sciences Po)
creator Creel, Jérôme
date 2007-04-05T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 3053e361-5b5d-4d43-b730-f36343d9a575
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2023-06-29T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/hdl/2441/1181
set_spec type:UNDEFINED