La BCE réagit-elle au prix des actifs financiers ?

We examine empirically whether financial asset prices may be admitted into the ECB interest rate rule. A correctly specified monetary policy rule implying that the ECB reacts to stock prices movements must include some measure of the gap between actual stock prices and fundamental values. We develop an original methodology to measure such a deviation, and we employed it as argument in an augmented interest rate rule. The empirical evidence suggests the following description of the European central banker: he significantly reacts to financial asset prices, by raising (lowering) the ECB main interest rate when stock prices are over(under)-evaluated; he is partisan of a wait-and-see policy, reacting only when the price gap is quite important; and he seems rather little conservative, believing that asset prices are driven mainly by nonfundamental factors.

Data and Resources

Additional Info

Field Value
Source https://hal.science/hal-00963626
Author Pepin, Dominique
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 5, 2026, 22:05 (UTC)
Created May 5, 2026, 22:05 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00963626
Language fr
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre de recherche sur l'intégration économique et financière [EA 2249] (CRIEF [Poitiers]) ; Université de Poitiers = University of Poitiers (UP)
creator Pepin, Dominique
date 2010-05-05T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 58d62399-4286-4c40-9e36-a18039471629
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-12T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED