A new criterion for prior probabilities

Howson and Urbach (1996) wrote a carefully structured book supporting the Bayesian view of scienti c reasoning, which includes an unfavorable judgment about the so-called objective Bayesian inference. In this paper, the theses of the book are investigated from Carnap's analytical viewpoint in the light of a new formulation of the Principle of Indi fference. In particular, the paper contests the thesis according to which no theory can adequately represent 'ignorance' between alternatives. Beginning from the new formulation of the principle, a criterion for the choice of an objective prior is suggested in the paper together with an illustration for the case of Binomial sampling. In particular, it will be shown that the new prior provides better frequentist properties than the Je ffreys interval.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00911175
Author Rodolfo De, Cristofaro, Lecoutre, Bruno
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 8, 2026, 01:06 (UTC)
Created May 8, 2026, 01:06 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00911175
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Università degli Studi di Firenze = University of Florence = Université de Florence (UniFI)
creator Rodolfo De, Cristofaro
date 2010-11-18T00:00:00
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harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2024-12-20T00:00:00
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