Addressing leakage in the EU ETS : Border adjustment or output-based allocation ?

The EU ETS has been criticised for threatening the competitiveness of European industry and generating carbon leakage, i.e. increasing foreign greenhouse gas emissions. Two main options have been put forward to tackle these concerns : border adjustments and output-based allocation, i.e. allocation of free allowances in proportion to current production. We compare various configurations of these two options, as well as a scenario with full auctioning and no border adjustment. Against this background, we develop a model of the main sectors covered by the EU ETS : electricity, steel, cement and aluminium. We conclude that the most efficient way to tackle leakage is auctioning with border adjustment, which generally induces a negative leakage (a spillover). Another relatively efficient policy is to combine auctioning in the electricity sector and output-based allocation in exposed industries, especially if free allowances are given both for direct and indirect emissions, i.e. those generated by the generation of the electricity consumed. Although output-based allocation is generally less effective than border adjustment to tackle leakage, it is more effective to mitigate production losses in the sectors affected by the ETS.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00866444
Author Monjon, Stéphanie, Quirion, Philippe
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 9, 2026, 14:30 (UTC)
Created May 9, 2026, 14:30 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00866444
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor centre international de recherche sur l'environnement et le développement (CIRED) ; Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement (Cirad)-École des hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS)-AgroParisTech-École nationale des ponts et chaussées (ENPC)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Monjon, Stéphanie
date 2010-12-09T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 8c6fd02c-0948-45ee-b034-3b8251189839
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-20T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED