Adequacy Assessment of a Wind-Integrated System Using Neural Network-based Interval Predictions of Wind Power Generation and Load

In this paper, we present a modeling and simulation framework for conducting the adequacy assessment of a wind-integrated power system accounting for the associated uncertainties. A multi-perceptron artificial neural network (NN) is trained by a non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) to forecast point-values and prediction intervals (PIs) of the wind power and load. The output of the assessment is given in terms of point-valued and interval-valued Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS). We consider different scenarios of wind power and load levels, to explore the influence of the uncertainty in wind and load predictions on the estimation of system adequacy.

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Source https://centralesupelec.hal.science/hal-00864843
Author Ak, Ronay, Li, Yan-Fu, Vitelli, Valeria, Zio, Enrico
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 9, 2026, 15:44 (UTC)
Created May 9, 2026, 15:44 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00864843
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Chaire Sciences des Systèmes et Défis Energétiques EDF/ECP/Supélec (SSEC) ; Ecole Supérieure d'Electricité - SUPELEC (FRANCE)-CentraleSupélec-EDF R&D (EDF R&D) ; EDF – Électricité de France (EDF [E.D.F.])-EDF – Électricité de France (EDF [E.D.F.])
creator Ak, Ronay
date 2013-09-23T00:00:00
harvest_object_id bfc0a8af-0852-4160-9942-bbdb3ef731fb
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-22T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED