Does the firm-analyst relationship matter in explaining analysts' earnings forecast errors?

We study whether financial analysts' concern for preserving good relationships with firms' managers motivates them to issue pessimistic or optimistic forecasts. Based on a dataset of one-yearahead EPS forecasts issued by 4 648 analysts concerning 241 French firms (1997-2007), we regress the analysts' forecast accuracy on its unintentional determinants. We then decompose the fixed effect of the regression and we use the firm-analyst pair effect as a measure of the intensity of the firm-analyst relationship. We find that a low (high) firm-analyst pair effect is associated with a low (high) forecast error. This observation suggests that pessimism and optimism result from the analysts' concern for cultivating their relationship with the firm's management.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00862996
Author Breton, Régis, Galanti, Sébastien, Hurlin, Christophe, Vaubourg, Anne-Gaël
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 9, 2026, 17:14 (UTC)
Created May 9, 2026, 17:14 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00862996
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre de recherche de la Banque de France ; Banque de France
creator Breton, Régis
date 2013-08-16T00:00:00
harvest_object_id de6b2128-c538-4f8e-b290-042ce2dc1935
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-26T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED