Vehicle Risk Level Estimation By Using Experimental Trajectories in Bend

This paper tackles the general context of road safety, focussing on the light vehicles safety in bends. It consists to use a reliability analysis in order to estimate the failure probability of vehicle trajectories. Firstly, we build probabilistic models able to describe measured trajectories in a given bend. The models are transforms of scalar normalized second order stochastic processes which are stationary, ergodic and non-Gaussian. The process is characterized by its probability density function and its power spectral density estimated starting from the experimental trajectories. The probability density is approximated by a development on the Hermite polynomials basis. The second part is devoted to apply a reliability strategy intended to associate a risk level to each class of trajectories. Based on the joint use of probabilistic methods for modelling uncertainties, reliability analysis for assessing risk levels and statistics for classifying the trajectories, this approach provides a realistic answer to the tackled problem.

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Source International Mechanical Engineering Congress and Exposition : IMECE 2011
Author Koita, Abdourahmane, Daucher, Dimitri, Fogli, Michel
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 9, 2026, 19:27 (UTC)
Created May 9, 2026, 19:27 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00860262
Language en
contributor Département Infrastructures et Mobilité (IFSTTAR/IM) ; Institut Français des Sciences et Technologies des Transports, de l'Aménagement et des Réseaux (IFSTTAR)-PRES Université Paris-Est
creator Koita, Abdourahmane
date 2011-11-11T00:00:00
harvest_object_id c1db2a40-3df7-4ab0-a260-89feddab1aaf
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2023-08-07T00:00:00
set_spec type:COMM