A predictive Stein's effect even in the low-dimensional case

In this work, we are concerned with the estimation of the predictive density of a Gaussian random vector where both the mean and the variance are unknown. In such a context, we prove the inadmissibility of the best equivariant predictive density under the Kullback-Leibler risk in a nonasymptotic framework. Our result stands whatever the dimension d of the vector is, even when d<=2, which can be somewhat surprising compared to the known variance setting. We also propose a class of priors leading to a Bayesian predictive density that dominates the best equivariant one. Throughout the article, we give several elements that we believe are useful for establishing the parallel between the prediction and the estimation problems, as it was done in the known variance framework.

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Additional Info

Field Value
Source https://hal.science/hal-00851205
Author Boisbunon, Aurélie, Maruyama, Yuzo
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 10, 2026, 03:00 (UTC)
Created May 10, 2026, 03:00 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00851205
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Center for Spatial Information Science (CSIS) ; The University of Tokyo (UTokyo)
creator Boisbunon, Aurélie
date 2013-08-08T00:00:00
harvest_object_id aa4b15b7-ab4d-4987-baaa-0932be4991f2
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-02-02T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1308.2765
set_spec type:UNDEFINED