An Anticipative Effects-Based Approach (AEBA) for analyzing collaborative crisis management process

This paper aims at presenting an Anticipative Effects-Based Approach (AEBA) to evaluate the potential effects of a collaborative crisis management process response on the different elements concerned by the crisis evolution. This approach provides several concepts, model and reasoning mechanisms presented and illustrated in this paper. AEBA is currently developed within the French ISYCRI1 Project. It focuses on crisis occurring suddenly and unpredictably. Long time crisis such as famine, pandemic, enduring civilian wars, etc. are not taken into account.