Weak law of large numbers for some Markov chains along non homogeneous genealogies

We consider a population with non-overlapping generations, whose size goes to infinity. It is described by a discrete genealogy which may be time non-homogeneous and we pay special attention to branching trees in varying environments. A Markov chain models the dynamic of the trait of each individual along this genealogy and may also be time non-homogeneous. Such models are motivated by transmission processes in the cell division, reproduction-dispersion dynamics or sampling problems in evolution. We want to determine the evolution of the distribution of the traits among the population, namely the asymptotic behavior of the proportion of individuals with a given trait. We prove some quenched laws of large numbers which rely on the ergodicity of an auxiliary process, in the same vein as \cite{guy,delmar}. Applications to time inhomogeneous Markov chains lead us to derive a backward (with respect to the environment) law of large numbers and a law of large numbers on the whole population until generation $n$. A central limit is also established in the transient case.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00824085
Author Bansaye, Vincent, Huang, Chunmao
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 11, 2026, 02:18 (UTC)
Created May 11, 2026, 02:18 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00824085
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de l'Ecole polytechnique (CMAP) ; Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-École polytechnique (X) ; Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Bansaye, Vincent
date 2013-05-21T00:00:00
harvest_object_id e1c54452-aa61-4694-9749-09db2aea7445
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-09-04T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1305.4766
set_spec type:UNDEFINED