Markov switching quadratic term structure models

In this paper, we consider a discrete time economy where we assume that the short term interest rate follows a quadratic term structure of a regime switching asset process. The possible non-linear structure and the fact that the interest rate can have different economic or financial trends justify the interest of Regime Switching Quadratic Term Structure Model (RS-QTSM). Indeed, this regime switching process depends on the values of a Markov chain with a time dependent transition probability matrix which can well captures the different states (regimes) of the economy. We prove that under this modelling that the conditional zero coupon bond price admits also a quadratic term structure. Moreover, the stochastic coefficients which appear in this decomposition satisfy an explicit system of coupled stochastic backward recursions.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00821745
Author Goutte, Stéphane
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 11, 2026, 04:16 (UTC)
Created May 11, 2026, 04:16 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00821745
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de Probabilités et Modèles Aléatoires (LPMA) ; Université Pierre et Marie Curie - Paris 6 (UPMC)-Université Paris Diderot - Paris 7 (UPD7)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Goutte, Stéphane
date 2013-05-12T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 80ff2bff-308a-46b1-b4b0-8618cd010522
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-03-20T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1305.2693
set_spec type:UNDEFINED