Bootstrap non-nested mixture model selection - Application to extreme value modeling in metal fatigue problems

In this paper, we consider the problem of selecting the most appropriate model from many possible models to describe datasets involving mixtures of distributions. The proposed method consists of finding the maximul likelihood estimators (MLEs) of different assumed mixture models that describe a dataset, using the Expectation- Maximization (EM) algorithm, and subsequently using bootstrap sampling technique to identify the distance between the empirical cumulative distribution function (cdf) of the dataset and the MLE fitted cdf. To test the goodness of fit, a new metric, the Integrated Cumulative Error (ICE) is proposed and compared with other existing metrics for accuracy of detecting the appropriate model. The ICE metric shows a markedly improved performance, from the existing metrics, in identifying the correct mixture model. The method is applied to model the distribution of indicators of the fatigue crack formation potency, obtained from numerical experiments.

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Field Value
Source https://hal.science/hal-00796645
Author Vandekerkhove, Pierre, Padbiri, Jagan, Mcdowell, David
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 11, 2026, 19:49 (UTC)
Created May 11, 2026, 19:49 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00796645
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Mathématiques Appliquées (LAMA) ; Université Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée (UPEM)-Fédération de Recherche Bézout (BEZOUT) ; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12 (UPEC UP12)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Vandekerkhove, Pierre
date 2013-03-04T00:00:00
harvest_object_id c3ae8d49-8b26-4e69-a213-170a16b11355
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-04-02T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED