Continuous invertibility and stable QML estimation of the EGARCH(1,1) model

We introduce the notion of continuous invertibility on a compact set for volatility models driven by a Stochastic Recurrence Equation (SRE). We prove the strong consistency of the Quasi Maximum Likelihood Estimator (QMLE) when the optimization procedure is done on a continuously invertible domain. This approach gives for the first time the strong consistency of the QMLE used by Nelson in \cite{nelson:1991} for the EGARCH(1,1) model under explicit but non observable conditions. In practice, we propose to stabilize the QMLE by constraining the optimization procedure to an empirical continuously invertible domain. The new method, called Stable QMLE (SQMLE), is strongly consistent when the observations follow an invertible EGARCH(1,1) model. We also give the asymptotic normality of the SQMLE under additional minimal assumptions.

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Field Value
Source ISSN: 0303-6898
Author Wintenberger, Olivier
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 15, 2026, 13:25 (UTC)
Created May 15, 2026, 13:25 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00751706
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire de Finance Assurance (LFA) ; Centre de Recherche en Économie et Statistique (CREST) ; Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique (Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI)-Groupe des Écoles Nationales d'Économie et Statistique (Groupe ENSAE-ENSAI)
creator Wintenberger, Olivier
date 2013-12-15T00:00:00
harvest_object_id f3ad1252-95d2-4f66-b525-36fa331d36c7
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-01-21T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1211.3292
set_spec type:ART