STOCK PRICES AND MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS: A GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM APPROACH

Recent empirical literature documents that unexpected changes in the nominal interest rates have a significant effect on real stock prices: a 25-basis point increase in the nominal interest rate is associated with an immediate decrease in broad real stock indices that may range from 0.6 to 2.2 percent, followed by a gradual decay as real stock prices revert towards their long-run expected value. In this paper, we assess the ability of a general equilibrium New Keynesian asset-pricing model to account for these facts. The model we consider is a production economy with elastic labor supply, staggered price and wage setting, as well as time-varying risk aversion through habit formation. We find that the model predicts a stock market response to policy shocks that matches empirical estimates, both qualitatively and quantitatively. Our findings are robust to a range of variations and parameterizations of the model.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00719956
Author Challe, Edouard, Giannitsarou, Chryssi
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated November 3, 2026, 20:40 (UTC)
Created November 3, 2026, 20:40 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00719956
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Département d'Économie de l'École Polytechnique (X-DEP-ECO) ; École polytechnique (X) ; Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)
creator Challe, Edouard
date 2012-09-07T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 6e7cee76-e231-4153-8e06-fcf71d57f054
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-01-21T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED