Large Shocks in the Volatility of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index: 1928-2010

We determine the events that cause large shocks in volatility of the DJIA index over the period 1928-2010, using intervention analysis and conditional heteroscedasticity model. We use a moving subsample window to take into account the periods with high or low volatility, allowing thus to identify large shocks as extraordinary movements perceived by the investors. We show that these large shocks can be associated with particular events (financial crashes, elections, wars, monetary policies, . . . ). We show that some shocks are not identified as extraordinary movements due to their occurring during high volatility episodes, especially the 1929-1934, 1937-1938 and 2008-2010 periods.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00678932
Author Charles, Amélie, Darné, Olivier
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 24, 2026, 19:11 (UTC)
Created May 24, 2026, 19:11 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00678932
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Audencia Business School
creator Charles, Amélie
date 2012-03-14T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 4a6fdcec-6ae8-4073-a848-57bb81400b46
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-06-04T00:00:00
set_spec type:UNDEFINED