Sparsity-Promoting Bayesian Dynamic Linear Models

Sparsity-promoting priors have become increasingly popular over recent years due to an increased number of regression and classification applications involving a large number of predictors. In time series applications where observations are collected over time, it is often unrealistic to assume that the underlying sparsity pattern is fixed. We propose here an original class of flexible Bayesian linear models for dynamic sparsity modelling. The proposed class of models expands upon the existing Bayesian literature on sparse regression using generalized multivariate hyperbolic distributions. The properties of the models are explored through both analytic results and simulation studies. We demonstrate the model on a financial application where it is shown that it accurately represents the patterns seen in the analysis of stock and derivative data, and is able to detect major events by filtering an artificial portfolio of assets.

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Source https://inria.hal.science/hal-00675274
Author Caron, François, Bornn, Luke, Doucet, Arnaud
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 26, 2026, 07:51 (UTC)
Created May 26, 2026, 07:51 (UTC)
Identifier Report N°: RR-7895
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Advanced Learning Evolutionary Algorithms (ALEA) ; Centre Inria de l'Université de Bordeaux ; Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Université de Bordeaux (UB)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Caron, François
date 2012-02-26T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 16e69a85-a183-4b32-b96b-7e5c85c877e6
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2026-02-12T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1203.0106
set_spec type:REPORT