Fractals

Fractals have become increasingly useful tools for the statistical modelling of financial prices. While early research assumed invariance of the return density with the time horizon, new processes have recently been developed to capture nonlinear changes in return dynamics across frequencies. The Markov-switching multifractal (MSM) is a parsimonious stochastic volatility model containing arbitrarily many shocks of heterogeneous durations. MSM captures the outliers, volatility persistence and power variation of financial series, while permitting maximum likelihood estimation and analytical multi-step forecasting. MSM compares favourably with standard volatility models such as GARCH(1,1) both in- and out-of-sample.

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Additional Info

Field Value
Source The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics (2nd edition)
Author Calvet, Laurent, E.
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 27, 2026, 23:31 (UTC)
Created May 27, 2026, 23:31 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00671878
Language en
contributor Groupement de Recherche et d'Etudes en Gestion à HEC (GREGH) ; Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales (HEC Paris)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Calvet, Laurent, E.
date 2008-05-27T00:00:00
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harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-08-20T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1057/9780230226203.0598
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