New approaches of source-sink metapopulations decoupling the roles of demography and dispersal

Source-sink systems are metapopulations of habitat patches with different, and possibly temporally varying, habitat qualities, which are commonly used in ecology to study the fate of spatially extended natural populations. We propose new techniques that allow to disentangle the respective contributions of demography and dispersal to the dynamics and fate of a single species in a source-sink metapopulation. Our approach is valid for a general class of stochastic, individual-based, stepping-stone models, with density-independent demography and dispersal, provided the metapopulation is finite or else enjoys some transitivity property. We provide 1) a simple criterion of persistence, by studying the motion of a single random disperser until it returns to its initial position; 2) a joint characterization of the long-term growth rate and of the asymptotic occupancy frequencies of the ancestral lineage of a random survivor, by using large deviations theory. Both techniques yield formulae decoupling demography and dispersal, and can be adapted to the case of periodic or random environments, where habitat qualities are autocorrelated in space and possibly in time. In this last case, we display examples of coupled time-averaged sinks allowing survival, as was previously known in the absence of demographic stochasticity for fully mixing \cite{JY98} and even partially mixing \cite{ERS12, Sch10} metapopulations.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00639011
Author Bansaye, Vincent, Lambert, Amaury
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated October 30, 2026, 18:49 (UTC)
Created October 30, 2026, 18:49 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00639011
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Centre de Mathématiques Appliquées de l'Ecole polytechnique (CMAP) ; Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-École polytechnique (X) ; Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Institut Polytechnique de Paris (IP Paris)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Bansaye, Vincent
date 2011-11-30T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 793dd9c7-bdaf-43a4-a4ec-e49693de3d91
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-09-29T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1210.4641
set_spec type:UNDEFINED