Exponentiality of first passage times of continuous time Markov chains

Let $(X,\p_x)$ be a continuous time Markov chain with finite or countable state space $S$ and let $T$ be its first passage time in a subset $D$ of $S$. It is well known that if $\mu$ is a quasi-stationary distribution relatively to $T$, then this time is exponentially distributed under $\p_\mu$. However, quasi-stationarity is not a necessary condition. In this paper, we determine more general conditions on an initial distribution $\mu$ for $T$ to be exponentially distributed under $\p_\mu$. We show in addition how quasi-stationary distributions can be expressed in terms of any initial law which makes the distribution of $T$ exponential. We also study two examples in branching processes where exponentiality does imply quasi-stationarity.

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Source https://hal.science/hal-00595912
Author Bourget, Romain, Chaumont, Loïc, Sapoukhina, Natalia
Maintainer CCSD
Last Updated May 9, 2026, 06:41 (UTC)
Created May 9, 2026, 06:41 (UTC)
Identifier hal-00595912
Language en
Rights https://about.hal.science/hal-authorisation-v1/
contributor Laboratoire Angevin de Recherche en Mathématiques (LAREMA) ; Université d'Angers (UA)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
creator Bourget, Romain
date 2012-11-15T00:00:00
harvest_object_id 8f2eb99e-0ac3-428a-9cfe-5e4ac4063a93
harvest_source_id 3374d638-d20b-4672-ba96-a23232d55657
harvest_source_title test moissonnage SELUNE
metadata_modified 2025-03-21T00:00:00
relation info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/arxiv/1105.5310
set_spec type:UNDEFINED