Incomplete markets, liquidation risk, and the term structure of interest rates
type: Dataset
contact point: Organization
  fn: CCSD
keyword: journal-articles
keyword: jel-e---macroeconomics-and-monetary-economicsee2---consumption-saving-production-investment-l
keyword: incomplete-markets
keyword: yield-curve
keyword: infoeu-reposemanticsarticle
keyword: shsecohumanities-and-social-scienceseconomics-and-finance
keyword: jel-e---macroeconomics-and-monetary-economicsee4---money-and-interest-ratesee4e43---interest-r
keyword: borrowing-constraint
landing page: 0022-0531
description: We analyse the term structure of interest rates in a general equilibrium model with incomplete markets, borrowing constraint, and positive net supply of government bonds. Uninsured idiosyncratic shocks generate bond trades, while aggregate shocks cause fluctuations in the trading price of bonds. Long bonds command a "liquidation risk premium" over short bonds, because they may have to be liquidated before maturity - following a bad idiosyncratic shock - precisely when their resale value is low - due to the simultaneous occurrence of a bad aggregate shock. Our framework endogenously generates limited cross-sectional wealth heterogeneity among the agents (despite the presence of uninsured idiosyncratic shocks), which allows us to characterise analytically the shape of the entire yield curve, including the yields on bonds of arbitrarily long maturities. Agentsʼ desire to hedge the idiosyncratic risk together with their fear of having to liquidate long bonds at unfavourable terms implies that a greater bond supply raises the level of the yield curve, while an increase in the relative supply of long bonds raises its slope.
issued: 2026-05-06T20:19:32.733809
language: en
modified: 2026-05-06T20:19:32.733814

test_moissonnage_selune
type: Agent

Incomplete markets, liquidation risk, and the term structure of interest rates
type: Distribution
access URL: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00944920
format: HTML
issued: 2026-05-06T20:19:32.743168
modified: 2026-05-06T20:19:32.707595