@prefix dcat: <http://www.w3.org/ns/dcat#> .
@prefix dct: <http://purl.org/dc/terms/> .
@prefix foaf: <http://xmlns.com/foaf/0.1/> .
@prefix vcard: <http://www.w3.org/2006/vcard/ns#> .
@prefix xsd: <http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema#> .

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    dct:description """
              We analyze the interaction of economic and political determinants of free trade agreements (FTA). In addition to standard trade gains, FTAs can promote peaceful relations by offering a political forum and by increasing the opportunity cost of conflicts that disrupt trade. If policy makers believe in such pacifying effects of FTAs, country-pairs with large trade gains from FTAs and high probability of conflict are more likely to sign a FTA. Using data on the 1950-2000 period, we show that this complementarity between economic and political gains is at work in the geography of FTAs. Country pairs characterized by a high frequency of old wars - which we use as a proxy of the probability of conflict - are shown to be more likely to sign FTAs, the more so the higher the trade gains from a FTA. These trade gains are estimated by a theory-driven empirical strategy to disentangle them from the political factors. We also show that, contrary to old wars, recent wars make it more difficult to negotiate a FTA. This suggests the existence of windows of opportunity to lock-in FTAs and peace. Finally multilateral trade openness, because it reduces the opportunity cost of a bilateral conflict, increases the political incentive to sign FTAs.
            """ ;
    dct:identifier "hal-00973014" ;
    dct:issued "2026-05-05T16:57:22.299473"^^xsd:dateTime ;
    dct:language "en" ;
    dct:modified "2026-05-05T16:57:22.299477"^^xsd:dateTime ;
    dct:publisher <https://rec.harvest-normandie.data4citizen.com/organization/cce9db95-46d9-4dc2-84b6-764215d0a002> ;
    dct:title "The geography of conflicts and free trade agreements" ;
    dcat:contactPoint [ a vcard:Organization ;
            vcard:fn "CCSD" ] ;
    dcat:distribution <https://rec.harvest-normandie.data4citizen.com/dataset/oai-hal-hal-00973014v1/resource/71e3237a-b515-41e6-bd38-f0420375a565> ;
    dcat:keyword "free-trading-arrangements",
        "infoeu-reposemanticspreprint",
        "jel-f---international-economicsff1---tradeff1f12---models-of-trade-with-imperfect-competition",
        "jel-f---international-economicsff1---tradeff1f15---economic-integration",
        "preprints-working-papers-",
        "shsecohumanities-and-social-scienceseconomics-and-finance",
        "trade-and-war" ;
    dcat:landingPage <https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-00973014> .

<https://rec.harvest-normandie.data4citizen.com/dataset/oai-hal-hal-00973014v1/resource/71e3237a-b515-41e6-bd38-f0420375a565> a dcat:Distribution ;
    dct:format "HTML" ;
    dct:issued "2026-05-05T16:57:22.304504"^^xsd:dateTime ;
    dct:modified "2026-05-05T16:57:22.291133"^^xsd:dateTime ;
    dct:title "The geography of conflicts and free trade agreements" ;
    dcat:accessURL <https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-00973014> .

<https://rec.harvest-normandie.data4citizen.com/organization/cce9db95-46d9-4dc2-84b6-764215d0a002> a foaf:Agent ;
    foaf:name "test_moissonnage_selune" .

<https://sciencespo.hal.science/hal-00973014> a foaf:Document .